Wildfire Risk Modeling
Solicitation number 24TDR911
Publication date
Closing date and time 2024/04/08 16:00 EDT
Last amendment date
Description
The Province is seeking a provincial scale modeling and analytical assessment of the likelihood of simulated escaped wildfires. Using the Canadian Fire Behaviour Prediction System and an approved Simulated Wildfire Growth Engine, the model will simulate the ignition, spread, and duration of a multiple wildfires under specified burning conditions. The model inputs include streams of historical fire weather, historical patterns of human and lightning ignition, fuels, topography, and seasonal burning conditions. Core outputs from this project include a provincial scaled burn probability map, simulated daily fire growth polygons, and Fire Behaviour Prediction System (FBP) outputs.
Landscape level burn probability and risk analysis informs Wildfire Management Planning, integrated forest management planning, sub-regional planning, and FireSmart planning and is used for operational predictive services support for prioritization of resources. The objective is to enhance Alberta’s ability to make efficient and cost effective decisions for both short and long range wildfire risk planning, to support public safety, and reduce impacts to environmental, economic and social values.
The project is divided into five subprojects: (1) data generation and analytics; (2) fire growth simulation; (3) model calibration and statistics; (4) documentation, reporting, and communication; (5) maintenance in case of a significant large landscape disturbance.
Contract duration
The estimated contract period will be 11 month(s), with a proposed start date of 2024/04/29.
Trade agreements
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Canadian Free Trade Agreement (CFTA)
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Canada-European Union Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA)
Contact information
Contracting organization
- Organization
-
Forestry Division
- Address
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7000 - 113 StreetEdmonton, Alberta, T6H 5T6Canada
- Contracting authority
- Connor Wollis
- Phone
- N/A
- Email
- connor.wollis@gov.ab.ca
- Fax
- 780-422-0151
- Address
-
7000 113 Street NWEdmonton, Alberta, N/ACanada
Bidding details
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